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Texas Senate Rivals Lean Into Populism, IVF and Faith (June 29, 2026)

June 29, 2026 · 6m 53s · Listen

Ken Paxton says Jesus delivered him from his legal problems. His securities case has been pending for eleven years — so somebody's running behind on the paperwork. This is Texas Senate Race Daily. Today: IVF, populism, and a candidate narrating his own legal record as scripture — we're starting with what Paxton's faith framing leaves out. Here's The Texas Tribune:

CORPUS CHRISTI — James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa, who will lead Texas Democrats’ ticket in November, closed the first full day of their party’s state convention Friday with speeches that sharply focused on populist economic politics and accused Republicans of fixating on culture wars to distract from what they cast as the ruling party’s corruption and hollowing out of the middle class.

So the Tribune has Talarico closing the first full day in Corpus Christi by calling Paxton — quote — 'the most corrupt politician in America' and a 'puppet' of GOP megadonors. That's a sharp economic populist line. It's a great line for the room. My question is which markets it reached beyond the room. Earned media that travels free on social is nice, but in a state this expensive to advertise in, free reach isn't paid saturation. And here's my crosstab question — 'billionaires are buying the system' is a base-activation pitch. Does it move a persuadable suburban voter, or is it mostly lighting up Corpus Christi? Because those are two different speeches. Right. And the convention does answer one thing we still had open — Talarico and Hinojosa actually appearing together, top of the ticket, hands raised. That's the consolidation signal. Crockett's still not in the frame, but the ticket's running as a unit now. Calling Paxton 'the most corrupt politician in America' is a vibe word, though. As a reporter, I want the legal language under it — and we'll get to that later this episode, because Paxton's giving us plenty of his own framing to work with. Spectrum News writes:

WASHINGTON — Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton’s announcement last week that he supports in vitro fertilization (IVF) is putting him on opposite sides of the state’s Republican Party, a declaration highlighting a broader divide among Republicans about how far the party should go in limiting reproductive rights after the Supreme Court ended the right to abortion.

Here's the precise version: Paxton told the Tribune last week he supports IVF, which puts him directly at odds with the Texas Republican Party platform. So we've got a documented split, not just a vibe. What I want answered is what his IVF support actually commits him to legislatively. Because as AG, his reproductive-rights litigation record runs the other direction — and 'I support IVF' in an interview isn't the same as a bill you'd vote for in the Senate. This is the one story today with real policy stakes. Spectrum's got the number that matters — three-quarters of voters who oppose abortion still want IVF legal. Treat that as a wedge inside the GOP coalition, not just a headline. So Paxton saying the words is only step one. Talarico's campaign has to decide whether it can target that specific Republican persuasion universe — or whether it burns that opening up in the convention populism we just heard. And I'd push you on that, Eric — endorsements and applause lines don't move that voter. A consistent legal record on embryos might. The opening is real. From Max Grinstein at Washington Examiner:

EXCLUSIVE — Texas Attorney General and Republican Senate nominee Ken Paxton declined to take a position on recent comments that his opponent James Talarico is destined for eternal damnation, insisting instead that what happens to Talarico is “up to God.”

So we've gone from turnout modeling on Monday to whether a seminarian is going to hell by Saturday. The race has officially left the building. Put the names on it, Eric. Patrick said it flat out at the GOP convention — Talarico is "going to Hell, for sure." Paxton, asked directly, dodged: "I'll let God judge." Which is its own kind of answer. He didn't disagree — he subcontracted it. And the line that matters legally and politically is the next one — "the things that he's saying are harmful." That's Paxton trying to turn Talarico's seminary background into a liability instead of a credential. Right, and remember, Talarico is literally a Presbyterian seminarian — studying for ministry. Patrick's calling that blasphemy. That's the wedge they're swinging at, and I'm not sure it lands outside the convention hall. Joe Jervis, with Jon Brown:

Texas Attorney General and Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ken Paxton told the crowd gathered Saturday on the last day of the Faith & Freedom Coalition’s Road to Majority Conference that he believes God delivered him from the legal obstacles he has faced in recent years. “There’s a greater power, and I’m not here because of some great thing I did. I’m here because God delivered me,” Paxton said to an enthusiastic Evangelical audience at the Washington Hilton.

Paxton told the Christian Post that Jesus delivered him from his legal problems. Fine — but he just made his legal history a campaign line, so let's put the actual record next to the testimony. The 2015 securities fraud indictment is still unresolved — eleven years and counting. The House impeached him. The federal public-corruption probe ended without charges, under circumstances both sides still fight about. That's the record he's narrating around. And honestly, that's the smart play. He's not denying any of it — he's converting it into a deliverance story. That's much harder for Talarico to run against than a guy ducking the record. Any campaign that wants to swing the accountability hammer at Paxton is going to hit a wall. You can't fact-check a testimony with a docket number — voters who buy the redemption frame have already factored the indictment in. You can't fact-check it, no. But you can state it precisely and let voters decide. Divine intervention is his framing; the securities case sitting open is just the calendar. Got thoughts on today's coverage, a story idea we should chase, or a correction we need to make? Send us a note at texassenateracedaily at lantern podcasts dot com. We'd love to hear from you.

You'll find links to every story we covered today in the show notes, so if one caught your ear, you can dig in from there. That's Texas Senate Race Daily for today. This is a Lantern Podcast.