← SpaceX IPO Watch

SpaceX’s Public-Market Multiple Faces Gravity (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026 · 4m 55s · Listen

A VC newsletter just wrote the phrase 'IPO multiples to the moon' about a launch company. Subtle. If you're just joining us, SpaceX's listing arc started with a $135 IPO price chasing a $1.75 trillion valuation. Then we got the first real read on the financials — big quarterly losses, debt, and AI-linked capital spending. And hanging over all of it: the supply overhang, with staggered lockups starting in July and August. This is SpaceX IPO Watch — and today we've got an actual day-one close to argue about, a $60 billion deal nobody's pricing right, and a lockup cliff that just got a lot more interesting. If you want to keep up with SpaceX public listing, tap follow so the next episode lands in your feed. SmartAsset, with Mo Mozuch:

For more than two decades, SpaceX built rockets, launched satellites and rewired the economics of space travel entirely outside public markets. That changed on June 12, 2026, when the company completed the largest IPO in history, opening ownership to everyday investors for the first time. Here’s a closer look at SpaceX’s valuation, business model, risks and investment potential.

So here it is — the explainer cycle. 'SpaceX IPO: Valuation, Timeline and Investment Options,' fact-checked badge and all, edited by two people, monetizing every search from somebody who just heard the largest IPO in history closed above two trillion and wants to know if they missed it. And here's what these pieces never put up top — the August 20th lockup cliff, or that Q1 four-point-three billion dollar loss against the coverage ratio. 'Investment options,' sure. They'll tell you how to get in. They won't tell you what 319 million insider shares hitting the market above the IPO price could do to your entry. I'll push back gently, Cassidy — this is the first retail-access story all week, and that's actually the story. Anybody waiting for the announcement before figuring out the path is already a step behind. The June 12th window was the moment. But yeah — no — an explainer that walks you to the door and stays quiet on the lockup is doing half the job. If you're buying in this week, August 20th is the date that should be circled, not the byline. Rampersand VC, with Taryn Pieterse:

On 12 June, SpaceX listed and closed its first day above US$2 trillion, the biggest IPO on record by capital raised, north of US$75 billion. Underneath it sits an AI story. SpaceX acquired xAI earlier this year, and the book ran more than two times oversubscribed. OpenAI filed confidentially with the SEC this month, chasing a listing near US$850 billion.

So a venture fund newsletter is now setting the comps for the biggest IPO on record. The Rampersand piece confirms it: closed first day above $2 trillion, north of $75 billion raised. That's our first hard close-price reference. Above two trillion on day one. The market cleared the valuation case before the closing bell. Sit with their own number, Eric. 112 times last year's revenue at the close. NVIDIA's at 20, CoreWeave near 10. They print the comps and then collapse a rocket company, a compute company, and a frontier-model bet into one headline — 'multiples to the moon.' And here's the line I've earned the right to just say outright: we marked SpaceX at $800 billion on the secondary in late June. A $2 trillion close means a 2.5x re-rating in months with no step-change underneath it. The private price was running ahead of fundamentals — that's documented now, not a hunch. I'll give you the spread — $800 billion to two trillion is a real gap. But the Cursor $60 billion deal in that same rundown is the first concrete enterprise contract number to surface. That's revenue the secondary mark never priced. If you track private-market signals, try Infrastructure Secondaries Daily. It follows LP stake sales, GP-led continuation vehicles, and discount-to-NAV pricing every day. It’s a sharp companion for understanding liquidity before listings. Find it wherever you listen to podcasts.

Next, we’re watching the first staggered lockup expiration window. That could be the next supply overhang in the SpaceX listing arc.

We’ve put links to every story from today’s briefing in the show notes, so if anything caught your ear, you can go straight to the source and dig in.

That’s SpaceX IPO Watch for today. This is a Lantern Podcast.