WEBVTT

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<v Sarah>Trump <00:00:00.304>says <00:00:00.656>Iran <00:00:01.093>asked <00:00:01.400>for <00:00:01.613>talks.

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<v Sarah>Tehran <00:00:02.928>says <00:00:03.173>no <00:00:03.347>talks <00:00:03.700>are <00:00:03.830>planned.

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<v Sarah>So <00:00:05.102>who's <00:00:05.406>actually <00:00:05.842>negotiating?

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<v Sarah>For <00:00:08.128>anyone <00:00:08.446>dropping <00:00:08.855>in <00:00:09.022>mid-arc, <00:00:09.702>the <00:00:09.815>short <00:00:10.132>version <00:00:10.535>is <00:00:10.722>this: <00:00:11.262>The <00:00:11.802>U.S.

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<v Sarah>and <00:00:12.338>Iran <00:00:12.770>have <00:00:12.978>been <00:00:13.102>testing <00:00:13.602>a <00:00:13.789>de-escalation <00:00:14.772>channel <00:00:15.234>that <00:00:15.762>ties <00:00:16.142>several <00:00:16.626>hard <00:00:16.944>problems <00:00:17.495>together—relief <00:00:18.914>from <00:00:19.082>the <00:00:19.282>U.S.

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<v Sarah>oil <00:00:19.913>blockade, <00:00:20.658>reopening <00:00:21.542>the <00:00:21.648>Strait <00:00:21.949>of <00:00:22.066>Hormuz, <00:00:22.922>a <00:00:23.186>halt <00:00:23.469>to <00:00:23.575>regional <00:00:24.062>attacks, <00:00:24.942>and <00:00:25.179>limits <00:00:25.575>on <00:00:25.762>Iran’s <00:00:26.212>nuclear <00:00:26.642>program.

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<v Sarah>The <00:00:27.902>process <00:00:28.382>has <00:00:28.619>relied <00:00:29.015>on <00:00:29.178>intermediaries <00:00:30.130>including <00:00:30.642>Pakistan <00:00:31.322>and <00:00:31.506>Gulf <00:00:31.831>states

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<v Sarah>and <00:00:32.779>public <00:00:33.166>statements <00:00:33.634>from <00:00:33.813>Washington <00:00:34.342>and <00:00:34.471>Tehran <00:00:34.994>have <00:00:35.493>repeatedly <00:00:36.095>diverged <00:00:36.850>over <00:00:37.082>whether <00:00:37.424>indirect <00:00:37.989>talks <00:00:38.362>are <00:00:38.553>actually <00:00:39.178>happening.

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<v Rich>This <00:00:40.882>is <00:00:41.202>Iran <00:00:41.682>War <00:00:42.175>Daily.

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<v Rich>There’s <00:00:43.562>a <00:00:43.671>public <00:00:44.133>diplomatic <00:00:44.690>collision

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<v Rich>ships <00:00:45.882>are <00:00:46.055>still <00:00:46.362>being <00:00:46.608>turned <00:00:46.962>away

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<v Rich>and <00:00:47.722>a <00:00:47.831>report <00:00:48.304>suggests <00:00:48.842>the <00:00:49.031>strike <00:00:49.535>pause <00:00:50.102>had <00:00:50.502>far <00:00:50.850>more <00:00:51.111>brakes <00:00:51.549>on <00:00:51.655>it <00:00:51.826>than <00:00:52.172>anybody <00:00:52.875>advertised.

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<v Sarah>From <00:00:54.836>Iran <00:00:55.277>International:

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<v Quote>Prospects <00:00:57.351>for <00:00:57.531>renewed <00:00:58.084>US-Iran <00:00:58.727>diplomacy <00:00:59.284>remained <00:00:59.775>uncertain <00:01:00.404>on <00:01:00.568>Monday <00:01:01.044>as <00:01:01.362>Washington <00:01:01.891>and <00:01:02.042>Tehran <00:01:02.641>offered <00:01:03.041>sharply <00:01:03.423>different <00:01:03.764>accounts <00:01:04.218>of <00:01:04.301>whether

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<v Quote>negotiations <00:01:05.411>had <00:01:05.521>already <00:01:05.938>begun.

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<v Quote>President <00:01:07.597>Donald <00:01:07.924>Trump <00:01:08.239>told <00:01:08.487>reporters <00:01:09.018>at <00:01:09.091>the <00:01:09.191>White <00:01:09.444>House <00:01:09.743>that <00:01:09.983>Iran <00:01:10.471>had <00:01:10.647>requested <00:01:11.204>talks <00:01:11.503>with <00:01:11.651>the <00:01:11.761>backing <00:01:12.138>of <00:01:12.244>Saudi <00:01:12.591>Arabia

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<v Quote>the <00:01:13.448>United <00:01:13.839>Arab <00:01:14.084>Emirates <00:01:14.571>and <00:01:14.818>Qatar.

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<v Sarah>The <00:01:16.025>US-Iran <00:01:16.686>deal <00:01:16.928>channel <00:01:17.318>has <00:01:17.478>a <00:01:17.558>new <00:01:17.738>problem: <00:01:18.602>Washington <00:01:19.086>says <00:01:19.345>talks <00:01:19.718>are <00:01:19.945>on.

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<v Sarah>Tehran <00:01:21.022>says <00:01:21.310>they <00:01:21.486>aren’t.

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<v Sarah>Trump <00:01:22.702>says <00:01:23.022>Iran <00:01:23.334>requested <00:01:23.902>them

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<v Sarah>with <00:01:24.465>Saudi <00:01:24.878>Arabia <00:01:25.558>the <00:01:25.818>UAE

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<v Sarah>and <00:01:26.558>Qatar <00:01:27.008>backing <00:01:27.438>it; <00:01:28.158>Esmail <00:01:28.618>Baghaei <00:01:29.198>says <00:01:29.575>Tehran <00:01:29.998>has <00:01:30.318>no <00:01:30.545>talks <00:01:30.928>planned <00:01:31.338>and <00:01:31.598>no <00:01:31.811>delegations <00:01:32.627>moving.

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<v Rich>And <00:01:33.905>Trump’s <00:01:34.358>selling <00:01:34.678>a <00:01:34.818>two-phase <00:01:35.565>arrangement—Hormuz <00:01:37.025>first, <00:01:37.518>nuclear <00:01:38.148>program <00:01:38.707>second—before <00:01:39.698>the <00:01:39.798>other <00:01:40.062>side <00:01:40.350>will <00:01:40.526>even <00:01:40.785>admit <00:01:41.145>there’s <00:01:41.398>a <00:01:41.508>meeting.

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<v Rich>That <00:01:42.585>is <00:01:42.718>a <00:01:42.926>very <00:01:43.510>ambitious <00:01:44.258>one-page <00:01:45.102>deal <00:01:45.418>for <00:01:45.638>a <00:01:45.740>conversation <00:01:46.558>Tehran <00:01:47.134>says <00:01:47.646>does <00:01:48.218>not <00:01:48.505>exist.

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<v Sarah>For <00:01:50.078>now, <00:01:50.611>those <00:01:50.918>are <00:01:51.086>competing <00:01:51.587>claims <00:01:52.030>from <00:01:52.238>named <00:01:52.728>sources—not <00:01:54.051>proof <00:01:54.345>of <00:01:54.438>a <00:01:54.531>negotiating <00:01:55.198>process.

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<v Sarah>Iran <00:01:56.615>International <00:01:57.398>notes <00:01:57.668>Iranian <00:01:58.214>officials <00:01:58.766>have <00:01:59.027>denied <00:01:59.509>indirect <00:02:00.225>talks <00:02:01.015>before <00:02:01.411>later <00:02:01.724>acknowledging <00:02:02.380>intermediary <00:02:03.180>channels

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<v Sarah>but <00:02:04.378>Baghaei’s <00:02:04.918>statement <00:02:05.358>is <00:02:05.591>categorical.

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<v Rich>Saudi <00:02:07.598>Arabia <00:02:08.131>suddenly <00:02:08.598>has <00:02:08.778>its <00:02:09.006>name <00:02:09.251>on <00:02:09.428>the <00:02:09.673>facilitator <00:02:10.158>list, <00:02:10.782>alongside <00:02:11.438>Abu <00:02:11.745>Dhabi <00:02:12.118>and <00:02:12.358>Doha.

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<v Rich>If <00:02:13.575>Riyadh <00:02:13.971>is <00:02:14.118>helping <00:02:14.455>broker <00:02:14.838>a <00:02:14.942>Hormuz <00:02:15.488>opening <00:02:15.878>while <00:02:16.118>its <00:02:16.298>own <00:02:16.545>refineries <00:02:17.138>are <00:02:17.238>under <00:02:17.482>pressure

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<v Rich>somebody’s <00:02:19.085>calculating <00:02:19.638>a <00:02:19.771>price—and <00:02:20.771>it <00:02:20.938>won’t <00:02:21.331>be <00:02:21.518>a <00:02:21.642>diplomatic <00:02:22.138>talking <00:02:22.625>point.

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<v Sarah>Here's <00:02:24.039>Iran <00:02:24.550>International:

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<v Quote>US <00:02:26.298>Central <00:02:26.628>Command <00:02:27.026>said <00:02:27.271>in <00:02:27.418>a <00:02:27.522>post <00:02:27.831>on <00:02:28.098>X <00:02:28.327>Monday <00:02:28.818>that <00:02:29.165>it <00:02:29.258>had <00:02:29.443>redirected <00:02:30.178>44 <00:02:30.694>commercial <00:02:31.118>vessels

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<v Quote>disabled <00:02:32.418>two <00:02:32.718>and <00:02:32.958>boarded <00:02:33.438>two <00:02:33.698>while <00:02:34.146>enforcing <00:02:34.618>the <00:02:34.818>US <00:02:35.031>blockade <00:02:35.485>of <00:02:35.634>Iran <00:02:36.071>as <00:02:36.231>of <00:02:36.395>August <00:02:36.818>3.

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<v Rich>CENTCOM’s <00:02:38.110>August <00:02:38.601>3 <00:02:38.908>scorecard: <00:02:40.601>44 <00:02:41.205>commercial <00:02:41.701>vessels <00:02:42.179>redirected, <00:02:43.121>two <00:02:43.312>disabled, <00:02:44.181>two <00:02:44.431>boarded.

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<v Rich>That’s <00:02:45.884>a <00:02:46.097>blockade <00:02:47.236>operating <00:02:47.937>on <00:02:48.124>actual <00:02:48.700>hulls <00:02:49.204>and <00:02:49.444>crews, <00:02:50.257>while <00:02:50.580>everybody <00:02:51.151>sells <00:02:51.537>us <00:02:51.764>a <00:02:51.944>Tuesday <00:02:52.436>reopening.

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<v Sarah>And <00:02:54.044>those <00:02:54.204>are <00:02:54.364>CENTCOM’s <00:02:54.994>figures, <00:02:55.770>posted <00:02:56.101>Monday <00:02:56.524>on <00:02:56.924>X—not <00:02:57.855>independently <00:02:58.586>verified <00:02:59.164>cargo <00:02:59.644>by <00:02:59.884>cargo.

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<v Sarah>But <00:03:00.944>the <00:03:01.057>count <00:03:01.404>rose <00:03:01.756>from <00:03:02.044>35 <00:03:02.631>to <00:03:02.844>44 <00:03:03.462>redirected <00:03:04.094>vessels <00:03:04.497>in <00:03:04.644>a <00:03:04.764>day, <00:03:05.511>while <00:03:05.664>the <00:03:05.795>disabled <00:03:06.404>and <00:03:06.574>boarded <00:03:06.981>totals <00:03:07.388>held <00:03:07.697>at <00:03:07.864>two <00:03:08.140>each.

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<v Rich>Nine <00:03:09.612>more <00:03:09.876>redirects <00:03:10.604>is <00:03:10.791>where <00:03:10.968>shipping <00:03:11.404>insurers <00:03:12.124>start <00:03:12.591>doing <00:03:13.036>math.

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<v Rich>“Redirected” <00:03:15.044>can <00:03:15.228>mean <00:03:15.564>a <00:03:15.694>delayed <00:03:16.137>cargo, <00:03:16.884>a <00:03:16.993>longer <00:03:17.471>route, <00:03:18.164>a <00:03:18.284>crew <00:03:18.671>stuck <00:03:19.054>waiting—and <00:03:20.186>somebody <00:03:20.741>paying <00:03:21.180>more <00:03:21.624>for <00:03:21.871>every <00:03:22.284>one <00:03:22.551>of <00:03:22.644>those <00:03:22.924>outcomes.

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<v Sarah>Set <00:03:24.544>the <00:03:24.655>diplomatic <00:03:25.210>claims <00:03:25.551>aside <00:03:25.924>for <00:03:26.184>a <00:03:26.364>second: <00:03:27.084>as <00:03:27.271>of <00:03:27.381>August <00:03:27.804>3, <00:03:28.588>CENTCOM <00:03:29.148>says <00:03:29.464>enforcement <00:03:30.164>was <00:03:30.324>still <00:03:30.596>expanding.

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<v Sarah>A <00:03:31.927>presidential <00:03:32.492>reopening <00:03:32.988>timetable <00:03:33.612>hasn’t <00:03:33.944>changed <00:03:34.412>that <00:03:34.684>tally.

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<v Sarah>Here's <00:03:36.283>Alhurra:

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<v Quote>What <00:03:39.319>had <00:03:39.441>unfolded <00:03:39.971>over <00:03:40.139>the <00:03:40.312>previous <00:03:40.819>78 <00:03:41.446>hours <00:03:41.849>reveals <00:03:42.419>a <00:03:42.557>compressed <00:03:43.192>decision <00:03:43.686>cycle <00:03:44.088>shaped <00:03:44.552>by <00:03:44.721>military <00:03:45.262>disagreement

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<v Quote>allied <00:03:46.623>pressure <00:03:47.503>resource <00:03:47.912>constraints

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<v Quote>and <00:03:49.019>a <00:03:49.123>late <00:03:49.430>diplomatic <00:03:49.999>opening.

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<v Quote>It <00:03:51.203>also <00:03:51.509>exposed <00:03:51.939>gaps <00:03:52.312>in <00:03:52.468>coordination, <00:03:53.411>with <00:03:53.603>some <00:03:53.928>allies <00:03:54.359>and <00:03:54.475>officials <00:03:55.023>learning <00:03:55.406>of <00:03:55.479>the <00:03:55.610>reversal <00:03:56.232>in <00:03:56.387>real <00:03:56.675>time <00:03:57.123>alongside <00:03:57.739>the <00:03:57.916>public.

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<v Sarah>Alhurra’s <00:03:59.336>account <00:03:59.559>puts <00:03:59.791>a <00:03:59.911>lot <00:04:00.199>more <00:04:00.448>behind <00:04:00.848>Friday’s <00:04:01.338>stand-down <00:04:02.071>than <00:04:02.431>a <00:04:02.519>president <00:04:03.008>simply <00:04:03.395>choosing <00:04:03.858>talks.

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<v Sarah>It <00:04:05.023>describes <00:04:05.751>78 <00:04:06.538>hours <00:04:06.924>of <00:04:07.084>argument <00:04:07.557>around <00:04:07.871>a <00:04:07.971>planned <00:04:08.551>10-to-14-day <00:04:09.591>campaign, <00:04:10.751>after <00:04:11.111>13 <00:04:11.644>straight <00:04:12.117>nights <00:04:12.418>of <00:04:12.551>strikes.

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<v Rich>And <00:04:13.711>the <00:04:13.882>constraint <00:04:14.451>was <00:04:14.691>interceptor <00:04:15.418>stockpiles.

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<v Rich>Vance <00:04:17.051>and <00:04:17.161>General <00:04:17.591>Caine <00:04:17.943>were <00:04:18.121>warning <00:04:18.503>that <00:04:18.681>burning <00:04:19.071>through <00:04:19.383>them <00:04:19.551>against <00:04:19.927>Iran <00:04:20.351>could <00:04:20.591>leave <00:04:20.811>the <00:04:20.991>U.S.

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<v Rich>short <00:04:21.791>against <00:04:22.151>China <00:04:22.631>or <00:04:22.848>Russia.

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<v Rich>That’s <00:04:24.031>a <00:04:24.127>readiness <00:04:24.681>problem <00:04:25.063>with <00:04:25.311>a <00:04:25.471>clock <00:04:25.724>on <00:04:25.884>it.

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<v Sarah>Admiral <00:04:26.855>Brad <00:04:27.180>Cooper <00:04:27.642>reportedly <00:04:28.197>wanted <00:04:28.491>the <00:04:28.608>larger <00:04:29.015>offensive; <00:04:30.091>the <00:04:30.199>vice <00:04:30.447>president <00:04:30.991>and <00:04:31.151>Joint <00:04:31.408>Chiefs <00:04:31.804>chairman <00:04:32.311>argued <00:04:32.831>for <00:04:33.002>preserving <00:04:33.591>capacity.

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<v Sarah>Gulf <00:04:35.155>pressure <00:04:35.551>and <00:04:35.711>a <00:04:35.802>diplomatic <00:04:36.371>opening <00:04:36.839>then <00:04:37.081>entered <00:04:37.451>the <00:04:37.573>decision.

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<v Sarah>Alhurra <00:04:39.077>treats <00:04:39.404>those <00:04:39.751>as <00:04:39.955>separate <00:04:40.414>causes.

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<v Rich>And <00:04:41.644>Trump <00:04:41.973>canceled <00:04:42.487>what <00:04:42.599>officials <00:04:43.077>called <00:04:43.371>the <00:04:43.488>region’s <00:04:44.051>biggest <00:04:44.533>American <00:04:45.091>air <00:04:45.333>campaign <00:04:45.911>in <00:04:46.164>years <00:04:46.695>with <00:04:46.991>a <00:04:47.111>social-media <00:04:48.087>post.

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<v Rich>Some <00:04:49.267>allies <00:04:49.722>reportedly <00:04:50.225>found <00:04:50.598>out <00:04:50.750>with <00:04:50.942>everybody <00:04:51.598>else.

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<v Rich>Put <00:04:52.590>that <00:04:52.774>alongside <00:04:53.318>the <00:04:53.495>Tehran <00:04:53.907>denial <00:04:54.398>we <00:04:54.606>just <00:04:54.865>heard: <00:04:55.678>diplomacy <00:04:56.505>is <00:04:56.785>still <00:04:57.198>public <00:04:57.818>fog.

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<v Rich>The <00:04:58.858>missile <00:04:59.350>inventory <00:05:00.078>is <00:05:00.318>painfully <00:05:01.118>concrete.

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<v Host>If <00:05:02.968>today’s <00:05:03.359>briefing <00:05:03.755>was <00:05:03.932>useful, <00:05:04.641>please <00:05:04.971>subscribe <00:05:05.528>or <00:05:05.675>leave <00:05:05.915>a <00:05:06.012>review <00:05:06.399>wherever <00:05:06.775>you’re <00:05:06.963>listening.

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<v Host>Reviews <00:05:08.627>help <00:05:08.795>other <00:05:09.029>people <00:05:09.315>find <00:05:09.731>Iran <00:05:10.175>War <00:05:10.435>Daily, <00:05:11.415>and <00:05:11.507>they <00:05:11.667>help <00:05:11.848>us <00:05:12.003>keep <00:05:12.231>bringing <00:05:12.555>you <00:05:12.728>clear <00:05:13.055>updates <00:05:13.523>each <00:05:13.795>day.

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<v Host>Next, <00:05:15.688>we’re <00:05:15.857>watching <00:05:16.181>whether <00:05:16.481>the <00:05:16.575>Strait <00:05:16.808>of <00:05:16.925>Hormuz <00:05:17.581>reopens <00:05:18.181>under <00:05:18.401>the <00:05:18.521>two-phase <00:05:19.074>negotiating <00:05:19.717>framework <00:05:20.274>Trump <00:05:20.597>described.

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<v Host>Links <00:05:21.928>to <00:05:22.034>every <00:05:22.354>story <00:05:22.661>are <00:05:22.808>in <00:05:22.881>the <00:05:22.989>show <00:05:23.248>notes, <00:05:23.954>so <00:05:24.109>read <00:05:24.341>whichever <00:05:24.749>ones <00:05:24.961>you <00:05:25.053>want <00:05:25.208>to <00:05:25.321>dig <00:05:25.581>into.

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<v Host>That’s <00:05:27.021>Iran <00:05:27.261>War <00:05:27.554>Daily <00:05:27.861>for <00:05:28.074>today.

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<v Host>This <00:05:29.421>is <00:05:29.621>a <00:05:29.711>Lantern <00:05:30.151>Podcast.