WEBVTT

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<v Sarah>Trump <00:00:00.293>calls <00:00:00.600>off <00:00:00.760>the <00:00:00.940>strikes <00:00:01.380>and <00:00:01.488>schedules <00:00:01.966>Monday <00:00:02.387>talks — <00:00:03.320>but <00:00:03.488>that <00:00:03.728>same <00:00:03.984>week

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<v Sarah>the <00:00:04.782>Pentagon <00:00:05.360>quietly <00:00:06.000>emails <00:00:06.551>analysts <00:00:07.189>asking <00:00:07.640>for <00:00:07.820>new <00:00:08.080>ways <00:00:08.427>to <00:00:08.549>punish <00:00:09.051>Tehran.

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<v Sarah>Quick <00:00:11.503>catch-up <00:00:11.896>before <00:00:12.223>we <00:00:12.390>dig <00:00:12.650>in: <00:00:13.470>the <00:00:13.587>Strait <00:00:13.957>of <00:00:14.074>Hormuz <00:00:14.703>is <00:00:14.858>this <00:00:15.130>war's <00:00:15.574>shipping <00:00:15.997>chokepoint.

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<v Sarah>Closing <00:00:17.637>it <00:00:17.770>snarled <00:00:18.330>trade, <00:00:19.070>and <00:00:19.150>the <00:00:19.277>fight <00:00:19.658>over <00:00:19.890>who <00:00:20.072>controls <00:00:20.602>that <00:00:20.800>traffic <00:00:21.343>is <00:00:21.490>now <00:00:21.674>part <00:00:21.957>of <00:00:22.030>the <00:00:22.140>broader <00:00:22.543>peace <00:00:22.879>effort.

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<v Sarah>Iran <00:00:24.370>and <00:00:24.618>Oman <00:00:25.170>had <00:00:25.340>already <00:00:25.736>traded <00:00:26.066>proposals <00:00:26.610>for <00:00:26.783>managing <00:00:27.230>the <00:00:27.350>strait.

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<v Sarah>Then <00:00:28.690>a <00:00:28.856>tanker <00:00:29.190>was <00:00:29.404>struck <00:00:29.650>off <00:00:29.898>Oman

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<v Sarah>and <00:00:30.983>Axios <00:00:31.512>reported <00:00:32.197>IRGC <00:00:33.032>missiles <00:00:33.570>targeting <00:00:33.981>commercial <00:00:34.570>ships

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<v Sarah>adding <00:00:35.734>pressure <00:00:36.143>on <00:00:36.303>shippers <00:00:36.770>and <00:00:36.943>negotiators <00:00:37.690>alike.

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<v Rich>This <00:00:39.130>is <00:00:39.386>Iran <00:00:39.850>War <00:00:40.183>Daily — <00:00:41.250>and <00:00:41.437>today, <00:00:42.030>the <00:00:42.170>gap <00:00:42.460>between <00:00:42.830>the <00:00:42.960>talking <00:00:43.490>and <00:00:43.630>the <00:00:43.752>shooting <00:00:44.330>is <00:00:44.543>as <00:00:44.746>wide <00:00:45.183>as <00:00:45.317>it's <00:00:45.514>been.

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<v Rich>Oman <00:00:46.938>says <00:00:47.170>a <00:00:47.274>Hormuz <00:00:47.834>deal <00:00:48.143>is <00:00:48.277>in <00:00:48.390>its <00:00:48.637>final <00:00:49.050>stages; <00:00:49.994>CENTCOM <00:00:50.634>says <00:00:50.936>thirty-five <00:00:51.677>ships <00:00:52.083>redirected.

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<v Sarah>Two <00:00:53.667>tracks <00:00:54.037>in <00:00:54.110>the <00:00:54.234>same <00:00:54.554>week.

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<v Sarah>Let's <00:00:55.570>start <00:00:55.802>with <00:00:55.962>what <00:00:56.157>Trump <00:00:56.543>actually <00:00:57.026>announced.

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<v Sarah>Al-Monitor, <00:00:59.758>with <00:00:59.953>Steve <00:01:00.336>Holland, <00:01:00.966>Menna <00:01:01.326>AlaaElDin <00:01:02.406>and <00:01:02.846>Yasmine <00:01:03.379>Ghania:

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<v Quote>ABOARD <00:01:06.058>AIR <00:01:06.245>FORCE <00:01:06.658>ONE/CAIRO, <00:01:07.798>Aug <00:01:08.338>3 <00:01:08.818>(Reuters) - <00:01:10.418>U.S.

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<v Quote>President <00:01:11.115>Donald <00:01:11.511>Trump <00:01:11.826>said <00:01:12.085>talks <00:01:12.434>with <00:01:12.578>Iran <00:01:12.930>will <00:01:13.104>happen <00:01:13.431>on <00:01:13.607>Monday <00:01:14.118>but <00:01:14.462>declined <00:01:14.845>to <00:01:14.958>set <00:01:15.178>a <00:01:15.271>deadline <00:01:15.738>for <00:01:15.885>an <00:01:15.994>agreement <00:01:16.578>after <00:01:17.018>earlier <00:01:17.355>saying <00:01:17.751>he

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<v Quote>had <00:01:18.064>called <00:01:18.398>off <00:01:18.605>an <00:01:18.711>imminent <00:01:19.207>attack <00:01:19.751>in <00:01:20.058>hopes <00:01:20.311>of <00:01:20.458>quickly <00:01:20.782>reaching <00:01:21.178>a <00:01:21.282>deal <00:01:21.591>to <00:01:21.767>reopen <00:01:22.198>the <00:01:22.304>Strait <00:01:22.605>of <00:01:22.706>Hormuz <00:01:23.338>and <00:01:23.748>resolve <00:01:24.118>the <00:01:24.258>impasse <00:01:24.786>over <00:01:25.058>Tehran's

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<v Quote>nuclear <00:01:26.080>capabilities.

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<v Sarah>Here's <00:01:27.511>what <00:01:27.628>we <00:01:27.799>know: <00:01:28.659>speaking <00:01:29.042>to <00:01:29.143>reporters <00:01:29.621>aboard <00:01:29.935>Air <00:01:30.108>Force <00:01:30.435>One <00:01:30.642>on <00:01:30.764>Sunday, <00:01:31.615>Trump <00:01:31.863>said <00:01:32.122>talks <00:01:32.487>with <00:01:32.695>Iran <00:01:33.082>begin <00:01:33.472>Monday <00:01:33.879>afternoon.

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<v Sarah>He <00:01:35.143>gave <00:01:35.388>no <00:01:35.566>deadline <00:01:36.188>or <00:01:36.375>location, <00:01:37.515>and <00:01:37.628>he <00:01:37.758>wouldn't <00:01:38.035>say <00:01:38.275>who's <00:01:38.562>in <00:01:38.635>the <00:01:38.775>room.

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<v Sarah>So <00:01:39.767>that <00:01:39.955>answers <00:01:40.395>the <00:01:40.499>question <00:01:40.905>hanging <00:01:41.287>over <00:01:41.455>the <00:01:41.615>end <00:01:41.762>of <00:01:41.879>last <00:01:42.215>week: <00:01:43.055>which <00:01:43.315>way <00:01:43.522>would <00:01:43.708>Trump <00:01:44.055>jump <00:01:44.428>after <00:01:44.735>all <00:01:44.895>those <00:01:45.141>strike <00:01:45.485>threats?

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<v Sarah>Reuters <00:01:47.063>says <00:01:47.308>he <00:01:47.449>called <00:01:47.715>off <00:01:47.948>an <00:01:48.099>imminent <00:01:48.524>attack <00:01:48.988>in <00:01:49.135>hopes <00:01:49.388>of <00:01:49.525>getting <00:01:49.835>a <00:01:49.975>fast <00:01:50.215>deal.

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<v Sarah>For <00:01:51.275>now, <00:01:51.948>he <00:01:52.135>pivoted <00:01:52.642>to <00:01:52.715>the <00:01:52.855>table.

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<v Rich>Sure — <00:01:54.735>and <00:01:54.919>read <00:01:55.191>what <00:01:55.335>he <00:01:55.548>actually <00:01:56.037>promised <00:01:56.588>on <00:01:56.762>Truth <00:01:57.164>Social <00:01:57.646>Saturday.

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<v Rich>Quote, <00:01:59.175>the <00:01:59.711>Immediate, <00:02:00.615>Complete <00:02:00.995>and <00:02:01.242>Total <00:02:01.639>reopening <00:02:02.268>of <00:02:02.423>Hormuz.

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<v Rich>Capital <00:02:03.935>I, <00:02:04.275>capital <00:02:04.895>C, <00:02:05.255>capital <00:02:06.015>T.

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<v Rich>That's <00:02:07.215>a <00:02:07.315>lot <00:02:07.522>of <00:02:07.625>capital <00:02:08.035>letters <00:02:08.495>for <00:02:08.655>a <00:02:08.759>deal <00:02:09.047>with <00:02:09.255>no <00:02:09.495>deadline <00:02:10.175>and <00:02:10.375>no <00:02:10.655>venue.

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<v Rich>And <00:02:12.087>look <00:02:12.268>at <00:02:12.391>what's <00:02:12.655>bundled <00:02:12.979>together <00:02:13.415>here: <00:02:14.095>the <00:02:14.275>strait <00:02:15.135>AND <00:02:15.555>the <00:02:15.795>nuclear <00:02:16.311>file, <00:02:16.875>per <00:02:17.255>Al-Monitor, <00:02:18.375>all <00:02:18.695>in <00:02:18.935>one <00:02:19.232>Monday <00:02:19.655>afternoon.

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<v Rich>That's <00:02:21.295>the <00:02:21.468>whole <00:02:21.835>war <00:02:22.185>stuffed <00:02:22.583>into <00:02:22.835>one <00:02:23.095>sit-down, <00:02:24.155>and <00:02:24.268>he <00:02:24.428>still <00:02:24.743>hasn't <00:02:25.063>told <00:02:25.308>us <00:02:25.455>who <00:02:25.642>shows <00:02:26.055>up <00:02:26.235>for <00:02:26.398>Tehran.

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<v Sarah>Here's <00:02:27.915>the <00:02:28.055>catch: <00:02:29.095>'no <00:02:29.326>deadline' <00:02:30.023>cuts <00:02:30.263>both <00:02:30.551>ways.

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<v Sarah>It <00:02:31.639>buys <00:02:31.943>room <00:02:32.175>without <00:02:32.491>committing <00:02:32.924>anyone.

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<v Sarah>Trump <00:02:34.103>said <00:02:34.348>he <00:02:34.487>didn't <00:02:34.759>want <00:02:34.901>people <00:02:35.228>to <00:02:35.435>die.

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<v Sarah>We'll <00:02:36.407>take <00:02:36.575>him <00:02:36.722>at <00:02:36.815>his <00:02:36.983>word <00:02:37.228>on <00:02:37.399>that <00:02:37.695>and <00:02:37.868>watch <00:02:38.167>what <00:02:38.352>Monday <00:02:38.784>produces.

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<v Rich>Right, <00:02:40.805>because <00:02:41.063>this <00:02:41.282>is <00:02:41.375>the <00:02:41.559>same <00:02:41.863>president <00:02:42.335>who's <00:02:42.592>issued <00:02:42.995>the <00:02:43.273>escalate-then-extend <00:02:44.845>routine <00:02:45.415>how <00:02:45.687>many <00:02:45.895>times <00:02:46.335>since <00:02:46.615>February.

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<v Rich>I'll <00:02:48.185>believe <00:02:48.581>Monday <00:02:48.927>afternoon <00:02:49.607>when <00:02:49.775>a <00:02:49.872>tanker <00:02:50.265>captain <00:02:50.659>believes <00:02:51.068>it.

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<v Sarah>Al <00:02:52.001>Jazeera <00:02:52.490>writes:

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<v Quote>Foreign <00:02:54.905>Ministry <00:02:55.317>spokesman

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<v Quote>Esmail <00:02:56.441>Baghaei <00:02:57.293>said <00:02:57.437>that <00:02:57.570>Tehran <00:02:58.001>and <00:02:58.121>Muscat <00:02:58.573>were <00:02:58.754>close <00:02:59.074>to <00:02:59.217>reaching <00:02:59.541>a <00:02:59.661>deal <00:03:00.008>on <00:03:00.141>a <00:03:00.261>new <00:03:00.452>maritime <00:03:01.048>route <00:03:01.211>through <00:03:01.485>Hormuz

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<v Quote>separate <00:03:02.733>from <00:03:02.914>existing <00:03:03.405>corridors.

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<v Quote>“We <00:03:04.981>are <00:03:05.141>now <00:03:05.301>going <00:03:05.528>to <00:03:05.621>reach <00:03:05.874>an <00:03:06.021>understanding <00:03:06.594>on <00:03:06.781>a <00:03:06.888>route <00:03:07.072>acceptable <00:03:07.608>to <00:03:07.709>both <00:03:07.981>sides – <00:03:08.811>neither <00:03:09.061>the <00:03:09.225>northern <00:03:09.634>route <00:03:09.961>nor <00:03:10.181>the <00:03:10.337>southern <00:03:10.674>route – <00:03:11.381>but

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<v Quote>one <00:03:11.693>that <00:03:11.874>respects <00:03:12.321>the <00:03:12.429>sovereign <00:03:12.895>rights <00:03:13.128>of <00:03:13.245>both <00:03:13.568>sides <00:03:14.001>and <00:03:14.359>safeguards <00:03:14.961>our <00:03:15.065>national <00:03:15.485>interests <00:03:16.101>and <00:03:16.283>security,” <00:03:17.161>Baghaei <00:03:17.565>said <00:03:17.848>in <00:03:17.954>an <00:03:18.101>interview <00:03:18.493>with

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<v Quote>state <00:03:18.912>television.

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<v Rich>In <00:03:20.042>a <00:03:20.132>cabinet <00:03:20.551>report <00:03:21.019>posted <00:03:21.389>to <00:03:21.522>Telegram, <00:03:22.375>Araghchi <00:03:22.866>says <00:03:23.162>the <00:03:23.362>talks <00:03:23.822>are <00:03:24.162>'on <00:03:24.522>the <00:03:24.722>way <00:03:25.042>to <00:03:25.255>being <00:03:25.602>finalised.'

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<v Rich>After <00:03:27.322>all <00:03:27.495>those <00:03:27.842>dueling <00:03:28.314>proposals <00:03:29.010>over <00:03:29.282>Hormuz, <00:03:30.162>Iran <00:03:30.542>now <00:03:30.802>says <00:03:31.175>it's <00:03:31.495>in <00:03:31.669>final-stage <00:03:32.562>talks <00:03:32.994>with <00:03:33.234>Oman.

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<v Sarah>And <00:03:34.482>now <00:03:34.909>we <00:03:35.154>have <00:03:35.362>specifics.

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<v Sarah>Baghaei <00:03:37.106>says <00:03:37.415>on <00:03:37.575>state <00:03:37.975>TV <00:03:38.274>that <00:03:38.422>the <00:03:38.538>mechanism <00:03:39.122>is <00:03:39.322>a <00:03:39.402>route <00:03:39.660>acceptable <00:03:40.295>to <00:03:40.450>both <00:03:40.775>sides — <00:03:41.572>neither <00:03:41.942>the <00:03:42.073>northern <00:03:42.702>nor <00:03:42.935>southern <00:03:43.424>corridor

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<v Sarah>but <00:03:44.442>a <00:03:44.549>third <00:03:44.946>line <00:03:45.232>through <00:03:45.462>the <00:03:45.582>strait.

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<v Rich>Right, <00:03:47.202>but <00:03:47.506>read <00:03:47.782>the <00:03:47.922>fine <00:03:48.295>print.

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<v Rich>Baghaei's <00:03:49.482>third <00:03:49.749>route <00:03:50.162>only <00:03:50.562>sets <00:03:50.922>a <00:03:51.022>new <00:03:51.298>lane; <00:03:51.922>it <00:03:52.135>doesn't <00:03:52.551>reopen <00:03:52.982>the <00:03:53.122>strait.

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<v Rich>Araghchi's <00:03:54.622>own <00:03:54.855>ministry <00:03:55.362>says <00:03:55.746>Hormuz <00:03:56.402>never <00:03:56.866>goes <00:03:57.170>back <00:03:57.415>to <00:03:57.562>its <00:03:57.762>pre-war <00:03:58.425>status.

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<v Rich>A <00:03:59.819>tanker <00:04:00.212>captain <00:04:00.610>gets <00:04:00.842>a <00:04:00.962>new <00:04:01.282>lane <00:04:01.634>with <00:04:01.842>a <00:04:01.978>permanent <00:04:02.562>asterisk.

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<v Sarah>And <00:04:04.082>Iran <00:04:04.455>keeps <00:04:04.762>the <00:04:04.944>leverage.

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<v Sarah>Tehran <00:04:06.442>has <00:04:06.610>held <00:04:06.850>effective <00:04:07.342>control <00:04:07.789>of <00:04:07.906>Hormuz <00:04:08.575>since <00:04:09.062>the <00:04:09.184>February <00:04:09.842>28 <00:04:10.322>strikes

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<v Sarah>and <00:04:11.554>this <00:04:11.742>formula <00:04:12.226>preserves <00:04:12.834>that <00:04:13.032>control <00:04:13.562>under <00:04:13.782>the <00:04:13.909>label <00:04:14.295>of <00:04:14.489>compromise.

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<v Sarah>Muscat, <00:04:16.622>notably, <00:04:17.330>hasn't <00:04:17.634>said <00:04:17.802>a <00:04:17.906>word <00:04:18.242>yet.

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<v Rich>One-fifth <00:04:19.735>of <00:04:19.862>the <00:04:19.975>world's <00:04:20.402>oil <00:04:20.695>moves <00:04:20.992>through <00:04:21.255>there.

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<v Rich>'Respects <00:04:22.682>the <00:04:22.850>sovereign <00:04:23.339>rights <00:04:23.709>of <00:04:23.826>both <00:04:24.175>sides' <00:04:24.855>is <00:04:25.002>a <00:04:25.122>lovely <00:04:25.671>phrase <00:04:26.114>that <00:04:26.309>tells <00:04:26.669>an <00:04:26.802>insurer <00:04:27.442>exactly <00:04:28.062>nothing <00:04:28.535>about <00:04:28.842>who <00:04:29.069>fires <00:04:29.629>if <00:04:29.722>you're <00:04:29.949>in <00:04:30.022>the

57
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<v Rich>wrong <00:04:30.469>water.

58
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<v Sarah>This <00:04:31.981>comes <00:04:32.280>from <00:04:32.488>Jeyhun <00:04:33.048>Aghazada <00:04:33.741>at <00:04:33.868>the <00:04:33.986>Associated <00:04:34.648>Press.

59
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<v Sarah>The <00:04:35.928>AP <00:04:36.296>lays <00:04:36.548>out <00:04:36.748>the <00:04:36.861>trade-off, <00:04:37.494>citing <00:04:37.808>a <00:04:37.892>regional <00:04:38.310>official: <00:04:39.273>Washington <00:04:39.995>lifts <00:04:40.348>the <00:04:40.470>maritime <00:04:41.048>blockade <00:04:41.728>and <00:04:41.896>lets <00:04:42.148>Iranian <00:04:42.668>oil <00:04:43.032>back <00:04:43.336>onto <00:04:43.548>the <00:04:43.675>water.

60
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<v Sarah>In <00:04:44.819>return, <00:04:45.745>Tehran <00:04:46.168>signs <00:04:46.632>onto <00:04:46.920>what <00:04:47.068>the <00:04:47.181>proposal <00:04:47.688>calls <00:04:48.168>an <00:04:48.448>end <00:04:48.915>to <00:04:49.172>regional <00:04:49.618>attacks.

61
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<v Sarah>So <00:04:51.348>the <00:04:51.624>Iraq <00:04:52.068>and <00:04:52.305>Jordan <00:04:52.712>incidents — <00:04:53.708>the <00:04:53.901>PMF <00:04:54.308>strikes <00:04:54.781>we've <00:04:55.018>watched <00:04:55.425>spread <00:04:55.838>outward — <00:04:56.848>now <00:04:57.048>count <00:04:57.501>at <00:04:57.628>the <00:04:57.741>negotiating <00:04:58.395>table <00:04:58.808>as <00:04:59.016>well <00:04:59.261>as <00:04:59.421>on <00:04:59.548>the

62
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<v Sarah>battlefield.

63
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<v Rich>Notice <00:05:01.808>who's <00:05:02.108>not <00:05:02.461>in <00:05:02.608>the <00:05:02.808>room.

64
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<v Rich>Riyadh. <00:05:04.828>You <00:05:05.192>lift <00:05:05.468>the <00:05:05.599>blockade

65
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<v Rich>Iranian <00:05:06.948>barrels <00:05:07.416>flow <00:05:07.688>again

66
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<v Rich>and <00:05:08.648>Saudi <00:05:09.108>pricing <00:05:09.572>leverage <00:05:10.008>takes <00:05:10.448>the <00:05:10.708>hit — <00:05:11.568>and <00:05:11.701>there's <00:05:11.888>not <00:05:12.088>a <00:05:12.235>Saudi <00:05:12.635>voice <00:05:13.057>anywhere <00:05:13.848>in <00:05:14.056>this <00:05:14.308>framing.

67
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<v Rich>And <00:05:16.088>'end <00:05:16.461>to <00:05:16.630>regional <00:05:17.208>attacks' — <00:05:18.141>is <00:05:18.296>that <00:05:18.548>Lebanon <00:05:19.088>too?

68
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<v Rich>Because <00:05:20.368>you're <00:05:20.708>quietly <00:05:21.185>asking <00:05:21.558>whether <00:05:21.832>Hormuz <00:05:22.321>navigation <00:05:23.128>is <00:05:23.318>getting <00:05:23.588>swapped <00:05:24.028>for <00:05:24.128>a <00:05:24.248>ceasefire <00:05:25.059>nobody's <00:05:25.745>naming <00:05:26.128>out <00:05:26.344>loud.

69
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<v Sarah>Katie <00:05:28.285>Bo <00:05:28.525>Lillis, <00:05:29.165>Zachary <00:05:29.725>Cohen, <00:05:30.285>writing <00:05:30.872>in <00:05:31.105>CNN:

70
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<v Quote>The <00:05:32.533>request <00:05:32.931>from <00:05:33.163>a <00:05:33.260>senior <00:05:33.653>officer <00:05:34.056>at <00:05:34.183>the <00:05:34.376>US <00:05:34.696>military <00:05:35.183>command <00:05:35.656>carrying <00:05:36.143>out <00:05:36.363>President <00:05:36.769>Donald <00:05:37.096>Trump’s <00:05:37.503>war <00:05:37.715>with <00:05:37.939>Iran <00:05:38.403>came <00:05:38.750>in <00:05:38.856>an <00:05:39.030>email: <00:05:39.710>We <00:05:40.291>need

71
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<v Quote>ideas.

72
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<v Quote>“We <00:05:41.963>are <00:05:42.123>looking <00:05:42.423>for <00:05:42.563>new <00:05:42.856>creative <00:05:43.323>and <00:05:43.491>unconventional <00:05:44.243>ways <00:05:44.590>to <00:05:44.687>pressure <00:05:45.083>and <00:05:45.249>punish <00:05:45.619>Iran,” <00:05:46.430>an <00:05:46.543>officer <00:05:47.016>in <00:05:47.203>US <00:05:47.413>Central <00:05:47.813>Command’s <00:05:48.508>intelligence

73
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<v Quote>branch <00:05:49.256>wrote <00:05:49.550>in <00:05:49.643>a <00:05:49.733>message <00:05:50.131>sent <00:05:50.371>Wednesday <00:05:50.883>to <00:05:51.083>a <00:05:51.176>broad <00:05:51.483>group <00:05:51.710>of <00:05:51.825>military <00:05:52.394>analysts

74
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<v Quote>according <00:05:53.710>to <00:05:53.803>a <00:05:53.889>source <00:05:54.207>familiar <00:05:54.595>with <00:05:54.743>the <00:05:54.863>message.

75
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<v Rich>So <00:05:55.813>in <00:05:55.960>the <00:05:56.128>same <00:05:56.384>week <00:05:56.707>Trump <00:05:57.093>calls <00:05:57.400>off <00:05:57.590>strikes <00:05:58.120>and <00:05:58.293>books <00:05:58.617>Monday <00:05:59.053>talks

76
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<v Rich>a <00:05:59.966>senior <00:06:00.310>officer <00:06:00.853>in <00:06:01.040>CENTCOM's <00:06:01.760>intel <00:06:02.240>branch <00:06:02.823>emails <00:06:03.480>a <00:06:03.600>whole <00:06:04.080>roster <00:06:04.613>of <00:06:04.791>analysts <00:06:05.417>asking <00:06:05.920>for — <00:06:06.660>and <00:06:06.760>I'm <00:06:06.920>not <00:06:07.109>paraphrasing — <00:06:08.872>'creative <00:06:09.080>and

77
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<v Rich>unconventional <00:06:10.192>ways <00:06:10.667>to <00:06:10.782>pressure <00:06:11.340>and <00:06:11.611>punish <00:06:12.288>Iran.'

78
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<v Rich>CNN's <00:06:14.280>Lillis <00:06:14.680>and <00:06:14.867>Cohen <00:06:15.240>say <00:06:15.413>it <00:06:15.560>was <00:06:15.728>sent <00:06:15.984>Wednesday.

79
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<v Sarah>Both <00:06:17.240>can <00:06:17.387>be <00:06:17.488>true <00:06:17.707>at <00:06:17.872>once.

80
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<v Sarah>The <00:06:19.013>Al-Monitor <00:06:19.667>talks <00:06:20.067>story <00:06:20.453>we <00:06:20.608>just <00:06:20.850>covered <00:06:21.240>can <00:06:21.440>coexist <00:06:22.032>with <00:06:22.208>this <00:06:22.480>email.

81
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<v Sarah>They're <00:06:23.720>two <00:06:23.909>tracks <00:06:24.366>moving <00:06:24.667>in <00:06:24.740>the <00:06:24.864>same <00:06:25.184>week, <00:06:25.910>exactly <00:06:26.440>the <00:06:26.608>kind <00:06:26.827>of <00:06:26.944>CENTCOM <00:06:27.413>planning <00:06:27.860>you'd <00:06:28.069>expect <00:06:28.520>under <00:06:28.760>a <00:06:28.907>no-deadline <00:06:29.655>announcement.

82
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<v Rich>Right, <00:06:31.640>but <00:06:31.800>I <00:06:31.880>put <00:06:32.048>more <00:06:32.274>weight <00:06:32.507>on <00:06:32.580>the <00:06:32.700>posture <00:06:33.152>than <00:06:33.300>the <00:06:33.400>press <00:06:33.660>release.

83
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<v Rich>A <00:06:34.698>brainstorming <00:06:35.427>email <00:06:35.813>to <00:06:35.936>your <00:06:36.071>analysts <00:06:36.733>shows <00:06:37.232>what <00:06:37.420>you <00:06:37.671>actually <00:06:38.310>believe.

84
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<v Rich>The <00:06:39.337>Monday <00:06:39.744>handshake <00:06:40.453>is <00:06:40.752>what <00:06:40.920>you <00:06:41.100>say <00:06:41.328>into <00:06:41.560>a <00:06:41.658>microphone.

85
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<v Sarah>The <00:06:42.764>sourcing <00:06:43.168>here <00:06:43.430>matters.

86
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<v Sarah>CNN <00:06:45.104>says <00:06:45.440>two <00:06:45.726>people <00:06:46.056>described <00:06:46.580>the <00:06:46.710>message, <00:06:47.560>and <00:06:47.707>it <00:06:47.824>came <00:06:48.112>from <00:06:48.280>a <00:06:48.377>senior <00:06:48.780>officer <00:06:49.280>in <00:06:49.520>CENTCOM's <00:06:50.209>intelligence <00:06:50.880>branch.

87
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<v Sarah>It <00:06:51.960>was <00:06:52.120>a <00:06:52.210>request <00:06:52.600>for <00:06:52.840>ideas; <00:06:53.840>no <00:06:54.064>operation <00:06:54.680>had <00:06:54.816>been <00:06:54.951>approved.

88
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<v Sarah>So <00:06:56.160>I'd <00:06:56.480>say <00:06:56.840>'asked' <00:06:57.646>rather <00:06:57.952>than <00:06:58.160>'ordered.'

89
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<v Rich>Sure. <00:06:59.710>But <00:06:59.936>here's <00:07:00.133>my <00:07:00.284>question <00:07:00.680>for <00:07:00.857>Monday: <00:07:01.380>whoever <00:07:02.133>Trump <00:07:02.464>sits <00:07:02.777>across <00:07:03.184>from

90
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<v Rich>are <00:07:04.176>they <00:07:04.289>representing <00:07:04.920>the <00:07:05.120>same <00:07:05.491>government <00:07:06.080>CENTCOM <00:07:06.704>just <00:07:07.027>asked <00:07:07.400>its <00:07:07.627>analysts <00:07:08.520>how <00:07:08.693>to <00:07:08.880>punish <00:07:09.433>creatively?

91
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<v Rich>Because <00:07:11.160>those <00:07:11.400>might <00:07:11.627>be <00:07:11.760>two <00:07:12.080>very <00:07:12.440>different <00:07:12.858>Washingtons.

92
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<v Sarah>Shafaq <00:07:15.072>News <00:07:15.397>writes:

93
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<v Quote>US <00:07:16.771>forces <00:07:17.146>have <00:07:17.332>redirected <00:07:17.994>35 <00:07:18.510>commercial <00:07:18.944>vessels

94
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<v Quote>disabled <00:07:20.114>two <00:07:20.314>ships <00:07:20.974>and <00:07:21.084>boarded <00:07:21.474>two <00:07:21.663>others <00:07:22.101>under <00:07:22.274>the <00:07:22.438>maritime <00:07:22.847>blockade <00:07:23.327>on <00:07:23.530>Iran

95
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<v Quote>the <00:07:24.501>US <00:07:24.754>Central <00:07:25.094>Command <00:07:25.634>(CENTCOM) <00:07:26.506>said <00:07:26.687>on <00:07:26.856>Saturday.

96
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<v Quote>Yesterday, <00:07:28.922>CENTCOM <00:07:29.327>reported <00:07:29.800>diverting <00:07:30.314>30 <00:07:30.670>commercial <00:07:31.114>ships, <00:07:31.802>disabling <00:07:32.294>two <00:07:32.554>ships, <00:07:33.214>and <00:07:33.334>inspecting <00:07:33.894>two <00:07:34.143>others.

97
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<v Quote>The <00:07:35.541>US <00:07:35.807>military <00:07:36.294>resumed <00:07:36.734>the <00:07:36.838>blockade <00:07:37.247>on <00:07:37.418>July <00:07:37.754>14

98
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<v Quote>targeting <00:07:39.164>vessels <00:07:39.562>traveling <00:07:40.101>to <00:07:40.374>and <00:07:40.602>from <00:07:40.864>Iranian <00:07:41.434>ports <00:07:41.934>and <00:07:42.294>coastal <00:07:42.781>areas <00:07:43.141>in <00:07:43.247>response <00:07:43.727>to <00:07:43.894>Iranian <00:07:44.364>attacks <00:07:44.767>on <00:07:44.927>ships <00:07:45.261>transiting <00:07:45.818>Hormuz.

99
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<v Rich>Five <00:07:47.240>more <00:07:47.576>ships <00:07:48.034>redirected <00:07:48.696>in <00:07:48.936>one <00:07:49.276>day.

100
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<v Rich>Thirty <00:07:50.456>on <00:07:50.685>Friday, <00:07:51.462>thirty-five <00:07:52.296>by <00:07:52.527>Saturday — <00:07:53.696>and <00:07:53.848>then <00:07:54.016>Trump's <00:07:54.336>telling <00:07:54.696>us: <00:07:55.176>Monday <00:07:55.736>talks, <00:07:56.376>no <00:07:56.598>deadline, <00:07:57.472>everybody <00:07:58.123>relax.

101
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<v Sarah>CENTCOM's <00:08:01.097>own <00:08:01.394>August <00:08:01.817>2 <00:08:02.137>post <00:08:02.585>says <00:08:03.177>35 <00:08:03.867>vessels <00:08:04.282>redirected, <00:08:05.217>two <00:08:05.408>disabled, <00:08:06.237>two <00:08:06.367>boarded.

102
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<v Sarah>The <00:08:07.559>disabled <00:08:08.117>and <00:08:08.347>boarded <00:08:08.757>numbers <00:08:09.241>held <00:08:09.554>steady.

103
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<v Sarah>The <00:08:10.510>redirect <00:08:11.004>count <00:08:11.385>kept <00:08:11.639>climbing.

104
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<v Rich>Imagine <00:08:13.377>the <00:08:13.550>underwriter <00:08:14.197>pricing <00:08:14.677>leg <00:08:14.914>thirty-one <00:08:15.641>this <00:08:15.961>week, <00:08:16.569>then <00:08:16.741>watching <00:08:17.197>leg <00:08:17.543>thirty-five <00:08:18.277>get <00:08:18.524>waved <00:08:18.977>off.

105
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<v Rich>Ask <00:08:20.417>a <00:08:20.503>tanker <00:08:20.837>captain <00:08:21.273>what <00:08:21.390>he <00:08:21.554>trusts <00:08:21.961>more: <00:08:22.577>the <00:08:22.750>de-escalation <00:08:23.550>press <00:08:23.897>release <00:08:24.644>or <00:08:25.037>the <00:08:25.166>Marine <00:08:25.737>F-35 <00:08:26.673>launching <00:08:27.217>off <00:08:27.377>the <00:08:27.557>Lincoln.

106
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<v Sarah>And <00:08:29.225>keep <00:08:29.457>the <00:08:29.625>date <00:08:29.844>in <00:08:29.993>mind: <00:08:30.797>the <00:08:30.910>blockade <00:08:31.397>resumed <00:08:31.897>July <00:08:32.377>14 <00:08:33.124>after <00:08:33.717>Iranian <00:08:34.197>attacks <00:08:34.670>on <00:08:34.821>shipping <00:08:35.230>in <00:08:35.401>Hormuz, <00:08:36.177>per <00:08:36.350>Shafaq.

107
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<v Sarah>Nineteen <00:08:37.897>days <00:08:38.297>in, <00:08:38.633>this <00:08:39.070>is <00:08:39.217>the <00:08:39.385>operating <00:08:39.929>pace.

108
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<v Sarah>It's <00:08:40.990>no <00:08:41.157>one-off. <00:08:42.017>The <00:08:42.190>military <00:08:42.684>track <00:08:43.049>didn't <00:08:43.310>pause <00:08:43.617>for <00:08:43.806>Monday.

109
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<v Rich>And <00:08:44.985>that's <00:08:45.441>happening <00:08:45.697>while <00:08:45.961>diplomats <00:08:46.630>draft: <00:08:47.457>the <00:08:47.630>ships <00:08:47.917>are <00:08:48.017>still <00:08:48.257>getting <00:08:48.583>turned <00:08:48.926>around <00:08:49.449>amid <00:08:49.957>all <00:08:50.177>the <00:08:50.361>talk <00:08:50.670>about <00:08:51.017>Monday <00:08:51.637>and <00:08:52.097>the <00:08:52.345>Oman <00:08:52.937>route.

110
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<v Host>Have <00:08:54.356>feedback, <00:08:54.974>a <00:08:55.067>story <00:08:55.414>idea, <00:08:55.841>or <00:08:56.054>a <00:08:56.243>correction?

111
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<v Host>Email <00:08:57.681>us <00:08:57.921>at <00:08:58.054>iranwardaily <00:08:59.201>at <00:08:59.314>lantern <00:08:59.823>podcasts <00:09:00.574>dot <00:09:00.814>com.

112
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<v Host>We’d <00:09:01.947>be <00:09:02.038>glad <00:09:02.321>to <00:09:02.406>hear <00:09:02.582>from <00:09:02.834>you.

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<v Host>We’ll <00:09:04.096>be <00:09:04.193>watching <00:09:04.595>Monday <00:09:04.917>afternoon’s <00:09:05.582>talks <00:09:05.781>with <00:09:06.037>Iran — <00:09:06.909>who <00:09:07.096>shows <00:09:07.509>up

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<v Host>and <00:09:08.339>whether <00:09:08.609>any <00:09:08.869>terms <00:09:09.326>emerge <00:09:09.722>on <00:09:09.877>reopening <00:09:10.329>the <00:09:10.435>Strait <00:09:10.736>of <00:09:10.837>Hormuz <00:09:11.749>or <00:09:12.165>Iran’s <00:09:12.689>nuclear <00:09:13.183>capabilities.

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<v Host>Links <00:09:15.082>to <00:09:15.229>every <00:09:15.496>story <00:09:15.849>are <00:09:15.962>in <00:09:16.122>today’s <00:09:16.517>show <00:09:16.762>notes <00:09:17.056>if <00:09:17.129>you’d <00:09:17.301>like <00:09:17.456>to <00:09:17.569>dig <00:09:17.818>deeper.

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<v Host>That’s <00:09:19.093>Iran <00:09:19.409>War <00:09:19.656>Daily <00:09:20.029>for <00:09:20.229>today.

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<v Host>This <00:09:21.482>is <00:09:21.629>a <00:09:21.729>Lantern <00:09:22.249>Podcast.