Senate Pickup Watch

Democrats’ Senate Path Runs Through Four Tough Flips

Tuesday, June 23, 2026 · 7 min

Senate Pickup Watch cover art

2026 Senate races come down to a four-seat Democratic gain, with Maine and North Carolina leading the target list while Ohio, Alaska, Iowa and Texas define how big a wave would need to get.

Listen

Listen to the audio episode

Read the episode transcript

Show notes

2026 Senate races come down to a four-seat Democratic gain, with Maine and North Carolina leading the target list while Ohio, Alaska, Iowa and Texas define how big a wave would need to get.

In this episode

  1. 2026 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin.com — 270toWin

    ![](/images/brand/270ToWinLogo.png) Follow # 2026 Senate Election Interactive Map ##### 35 U.S. Senate seats to be contested in 2026 The U.S. Senate has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents). There are 35 seats up in 2026 - including special elections in Florida and Ohio - of which 22 are held by Republicans. Democrats can retake control with a net gain of four…

  2. Predictions for the Senate - 2026 Midterms - Race to the White House — Race to the WH

    [Skip to Content](#page) [Race to the WH](/) [Race to the WH](/) # The 2026 Senate Forecast #### Designed by Logan Phillips The RacetotheWH Senate Forecast predicts the outcome of every Senate race in 2026 using a data-driven model that factors in the latest polling, historic trends, candidate quality, and fundraising. Every day, we simulate the election 50,000 times to get the best…

  3. 2026 US Senate Primary | Citizens Count — Citizens Count

    *We are in the process of updating our website to show new 2026 candidates. Check back soon for election updates!* # 2026 US Senate Primary Body The New Hampshire primary for U.S. Senate is September 8, 2026. The list below includes candidates who filed a statement of candidacy with the Federal Election Commission and received coverage from New Hampshire news outlets. The official candidate…