Senate Pickup Watch

Texas Deadlock and Cooper Lead Put Senate Map in Motion

Wednesday, May 20, 2026 · 10 min

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James Talarico is polling even with John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in Texas, while Roy Cooper posts an 11-point North Carolina lead and Democrats reserve modest New Hampshire insurance money — a map that is widening, but still demanding proof beyond early polls.

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James Talarico is polling even with John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in Texas, while Roy Cooper posts an 11-point North Carolina lead and Democrats reserve modest New Hampshire insurance money — a map that is widening, but still demanding proof beyond early polls.

In this episode

  1. New Texas poll shows deadlocked Senate race as Republicans face 2026 headwinds heading into November election | News | ktbs.com — KTBS

    # New Texas poll shows deadlocked Senate race as Republicans face 2026 headwinds heading into November election | News | ktbs.com Published: 2026-05-19T00:00:00 Source: ktbs.com (ktbs.com) Language: en ## Story New Texas poll shows deadlocked Senate race as Republicans face 2026 headwinds heading into November election | News | ktbs.com You have permission to edit this article. Watch Live…

  2. Step Back — When a state like Texas still leans Republican, what actually has to go wrong for the GOP — an unpopular nominee, a bruising primary, national headwinds, turnout shifts — before Democrats can realistically call it a Senate pickup instead of a mirage?

    Background sources

  3. GOP Faces “Nightmare Scenario” as Trump Endorses Paxton: “Almost Certain to Make Republicans’ Midterm Campaign Harder” - DSCC — DSCC

    # GOP Faces “Nightmare Scenario” as Trump Endorses Paxton: “Almost Certain to Make Republicans’ Midterm Campaign Harder” - DSCC Published: 2026-05-20T20:55:37+00:00 Source: dscc.org (dscc.org) Language: en ## Story GOP Faces “Nightmare Scenario” as Trump Endorses Paxton: “Almost Certain to Make Republicans’ Midterm Campaign Harder” - DSCC Help Us Flip the Senate Donate Now Washington…

  4. Polls show Cooper with strong lead over Whatley for NC Senate seat — The Hill

    Polls show Cooper with strong lead over Whatley for NC Senate seat ## Just In Tillis urges GOP colleagues to hold budget bill over White House ballroom funding Senate| 29 minutes ago Polls show Cooper with strong lead over Whatley for NC Senate seat State Watch| 34 minutes ago Cornyn, Paxton in dead heat with Talarico as early voting begins for Texas Senate GOP runoff: Poll Campaign| 1…

  5. For Democrats, Is NH Senate Race a Battleground, or an Insurance Policy? - NH Journal — NH Journal

    # For Democrats, Is NH Senate Race a Battleground, or an Insurance Policy? - NH Journal Author: Michael Graham Published: 2026-05-20T02:39:49+00:00 Source: nhjournal.com (nhjournal.com) Language: en ## Story For Democrats, Is NH Senate Race a Battleground, or an Insurance Policy? - NH Journal U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas campaigning at his field office in Manchester on May 16, 2026. When it comes…